Tuesday, December 30, 2008

Australian Dollar Consolidating Now

Through the end of 2012, I am one of those expecting a shift in economic power from Western economies (namely the US) to Eastern economies (China, Japan, etc). In particular, Australia, as a producer and exporter of precious metals -- which stand to rise when fiat currencies are troubled -- and commodities as well, may find its currency in greater demand.

So is it time to buy the Australian dollar? Let's take a look at the price chart to get an idea if now is the time.


After being in a strong bear market since August 2008, the Australian dollar is now rallying. It is currently forming an ascending triangle/rising wedge pattern, as the chart above illustrates. The hourly and weekly chart also show consolidation, suggesting the market may be ready for a breakout.

For US stock market traders, FXA is an ETF that tracks the Australian dollar.

Disclosure: Long Australian Dollar.

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